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Jun 09

Hung Parliament as Theresa drops the ball

Theresa May's gamble has resulted in a hung parliament

Theresa May’s gamble has resulted in a hung parliament

After all the sound and fury, we have a hung parliament following yesterday’s General Election.  You can check the results on the BBC website here.  It looks very like the Conservatives will govern with the support of Ulster’s Democratic Unionist Party.  The figures add up.

With one seat to declare, the Tories have 318 seats and Labour 261.  The DUP had a good night, gaining two seats to go up to ten. The two parties, with 328 seats, would have a Commons majority.

We must pray the DUP will keep the Tories honest and a bit more moral on social issues.  The transgender assault on schools springs to mind as something any government should oppose.  And if Mrs May’s Easter message was not plain hypocrisy, sacking Christians for talking about their faith in the workplace must stop.  We must have security and in foreign policy, the warmongering must stop.  But its the impact on Brexit of a hung parliament which is looming large in the media this morning.

Proverbs 16:12 It is an abomination to kings to commit wickedness: for the throne is established by righteousness. (KJV)

What went wrong?

Prov 16:18  Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before a fall.

So what went wrong for the Conservatives?  I said right at the start they should avoid hubris, keep it simple and not offend core voters.  So what did they do?  Thinking they would win handsomely, they got carried away with themselves.

Firstly, they refused to rule out National Health Insurance increases.  That followed an attempted raid on the self-employed in the March Budget.  So they told the self-employed they were going for them.  That’s four million people and their families.

Secondly, they alienated the elderly and their families.  They abandoned the so-called ‘Triple-Lock’ on pensions.  They proposed to take away the rule that pensions would rise by a minimum of 2.5%.  It may have been right to do, but it contrasted badly with Labour assurances to keep the Triple Lock.

Mrs May forsook the counsel of the Cabinet

The care cost floor, dubbed the ‘Dementia Tax’, was a hasty policy.  It was neither thought out nor trailed beforehand.  There was no Cabinet consensus or even discussion.  The policy was inserted in the Tory manifesto after a battle between advisers in No 10.  The outcry was predictable.  Ditching it after just four days made Theresa May look, not ‘Strong and Stable’, but ‘Weak and Wobbly’.

Prov 24:6 For by wise counsel thou shalt make thy war: and in multitude of counsellors there is safety.

Mrs May’s director of communications until the election was announced, Katie Perrior, told the BBC she “needed to broaden her circle of advisers and have a few grey hairs in there who been around a bit and could say ‘don’t do that'”.

2Chr 10:8  But he (King Rehoboam) forsook the counsel which the old men gave him, and took counsel with the young men that were brought up with him, that stood before him. 

Who can be trusted to keep us secure?

Thirdly, the two terror attacks, on Manchester and London Bridge, focused attention on the relationship between security and foreign policy.  People were able to see how the British attack on Libya in 2011 has put us all at risk.  Mrs May, as Home Secretary, encouraged known Muslim extremists to go to Libya.  Not only that, she allowed them to return here as trained jihadists.  Mrs May made Jeremy Corbyn look strong on security.

Fourthly, voters liked the Labour Manifesto.  I am not talking about extending the Abortion Act to Northern Ireland, recognising a state of Palestine and encouraging gay rights and transgenderism.  I mean nationalising the railways and spending more on public services.  These things chimed with voters.  In addition, doing away with student fees brought out the younger vote.

Fifthly, Jeremy Corbyn came across as affable and genuinely interested in people on the campaign stump.  Theresa May looked wooden and distant.  Voters warmed to Mr Corbyn.  They were somewhat put off by Mrs May and what they saw as a negative personal campaign against Mr Corbyn.

Proverbs 15:1  A soft answer turneth away wrath: but grievous words stir up anger.

Effect on Brexit of hung parliament

As I write, the mainstream media are pretending the hung parliament result is a rejection by voters of a clean (or ‘hard’) Brexit.  The BBC quoted former Chancellor George Osborne who told ITV: ‘Hard Brexit went into the rubbish bin tonight.’  But Brexit and the form of it was hardly mentioned in the campaign.

The party most defined by opposition to Brexit was the Liberal Democrats.  Tim Farron’s crew gained a few seats but their popular vote declined. They took two seats off the SNP in Scotland but lost their only one one in Wales to Plaid Cymru.  Their idea of a second referendum was shot down by the voters.  The Scottish Nationalist Party, and their IndyRef coupled with flat opposition to Brexit, went backwards.

UKIP voters appear to have thought ‘Job Done’.  If so, they thought wrongly.  But in any event, most have returned to the Conservatives and Labour whence they came.

DUP did not mention the Single Market

Labour’s position was to accept the referendum result and try to maintain access to the Single Market, not necessarily by being in it. The Conservatives said they want to take the UK right out of the Single Market and the EU Customs Union.

The DUP stated their position as follows: ‘The DUP will work to get the best deal for Northern Ireland as the UK leaves the European Union.’  The DUP manifesto, which everyone is studying this morning, did not mention the Single Market or the Customs Union.  They obviously want a ‘frictionless border’ with the Republic of Ireland.  (Maybe the Republic will follow us out of the EU.)  The DUP say they want a ‘Comprehensive free trade and customs agreement with the European Union’.  As a party which never wanted to join the EU in the first place, they should support a clean Brexit.

Revelation 18:4 And I heard another voice from heaven, saying, Come out of her, my people, that ye be not partakers of her sins, and that ye receive not of her plagues.

Should Mrs May resign?

The DUP's Chief Whip and Defence spokesman Sir Jeffrey Donaldson will have a big role in negotiations with the Tories and in the new hung parliament

The DUP’s Chief Whip and Defence spokesman Sir Jeffrey Donaldson will have a big role in negotiations with the Tories and in the new hung parliament

The unpleasant Anna Soubry and Bilderberg insider and globalist Ken Clarke can safely be ignored.  As long as the UK maintains EU-style protections for working people, there will be enough Labour votes to secure a clean break from the European Union in a hung parliament.

The media love a story and if there isn’t one they invent one.  So apart from Brexit, their other topic of conversation is whether Theresa May should resign.

The view here is that although she dropped the ball during the campaign, she still won the election.  No-one else would have any kind of a mandate.  She should stay on and clear up the mess.  She must sack her foolish advisers and listen to her Cabinet.  In addition, Mrs May has some tough questions to answer on her record at the Home Office and her ability under pressure.

Set up a church meeting about Brexit

So those of you who were praying for some sort of Con-DUP coalition have your prayers answered.  We now need to be praying for those in authority even more.  And the Brexit debate is back on the agenda.  In that regard, I am more than happy to come to your church or fellowship and share what I learnt about the EU and its revived Roman Empire on my travels last year.  All the Brexit videos are in this link.

Just ring or email to arrange a time.

Malachi 3:16 Then they that feared the LORD spake often one to another: and the LORD hearkened, and heard it, and a book of remembrance was written before him for them that feared the LORD, and that thought upon his name. 

Prayer and the LBGT dimension

Pray for the Lord to extend mercy over this United Kingdom.  In particular, pray for a godly government to be formed.  Pray in particular for the  negotiations between the DUP and Conservatives.  Also pray for righteousness and wisdom from on high to penetrate and wash over the corridors of power.

Lesbian Ruth Davidson is the Tories’ leader in Scotland.  She is about to get gay-married to her ‘partner’ Jen Wilson. She is very worried about the DUP and their staunch opposition to sodomy.  Miss Davidson told the BBC LBGT rights means more to her than her Party.  Mrs May has told her ‘gay rights’ will not be eroded in Great Britain.  Furthermore, Mrs May will try to advance ‘gay rights’ in Ulster.  We need to pray to the contrary.  In addition, pray that DUP influence will mean the UK will stop promoting sodomy abroad.

Job 22:22 Receive, I pray thee, the law from his mouth, and lay up his words in thine heart. 23  If thou return to the Almighty, thou shalt be built up, thou shalt put away iniquity far from thy tabernacles. 

Prayer and Brexit

Keep praying for Brexit, for security, for an end to political corrrectness, for the rights of Christians in the workplace and especially for Christians in Parliament, of whom not a few are in the DUP, as it happens.  Indeed, the media are now attacking the DUP.  Their opposition to gay rights, mentioned above, and abortion are well known.  But one or two of them are sceptical about climate change and evolution.  They need our prayer as a group.

1Tim 2:1I exhort therefore, that, first of all, supplications, prayers, intercessions, and giving of thanks, be made for all men; 2 For kings, and for all that are in authority; that we may lead a quiet and peaceable life in all godliness and honesty. 3 For this is good and acceptable in the sight of God our Saviour; 4 Who will have all men to be saved, and to come unto the knowledge of the truth.

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  1. Epistle

    It is easy to view the election result with fear and trepidation. We face a crucial and tough set of negotiations with the EU to achieve a fair and reasonable BREXIT, and now we have a much weakened Government and a damaged Prime Minister to undertake it on our behalf. But yet she still is the Prime Minister and will lead the negotiations regardless of her parliamentary weakness at home. The EU have no one else to speak to, no back door to undermine her position. This may be her route to political salvation, and to restore her authority. The Opposition are pro-BREXIT too; only the Liberal Democrats are die-hard remainers now, but are side-lined by the arrangement with the DUP. The issue of the Single Market and Customs Union is the critical one immediately at stake. But if the Prime Minister addresses the DUP reasonable concerns over the Irish border, and probably increased funding to N Ireland’s public services, they can be brought onside to the wider mandate for a clean brake with the EU. The Union as a whole is now in a much stronger position, with the SNP unlikely to get able to hold an independence Referendum in the foreseeable future, after losing so many votes and seats to the pro-Union parties.
    The Prime Minister will now be forced to consult more widely than was her wont, and this can only be a good thing. Her ivory tower instincts for leadership were detrimental to the country’s best interests. Austerity must be toned down if the strong Labour challenge is to be addressed, and this will benefit those in need in our society.
    The dependence of the Government on the DUP, with a Christian friendly stance on abortion and homosexuality, whilst unlikely to affect the rest of the Union, can only be a good thing. There are silver linings to the clouds ahead.

    1. Stephen

      Very good points, well made. But beware the media talking up Ruth Davidson and her demands for ‘LGBTI rights’ contrary to the DUP position and wheeling out Labour MPs in favour of staying in the single market.

      1. Rox

        There are already homosexual Conservative MPs as well as Ruth Davidson, and Conservative MPs at Westminster opposed to ‘LGBTI rights’ just as much as the DUP MPs are, and they were of course already MPs at Westminster anyway. So even if there is another vote on same-sex marriage in Great Britain, which seems unlikely, I can’t see that this semi-coalition would make any difference. Nor does the British government have any more influence on Northern Ireland than it had before, so it wouldn’t have imposed same-sex marriage there and still won’t. This is indeed just a news story, without much substance.

        What seems so surprising is that the DUP still got so many votes in Northern Ireland, when the desirability of continuing to treat it as virtually the same country as the Republic (within the EU) seems so obvious. So obvious that the EU wants this to be one of the first problems to be tidied up before starting negotiations proper. French people do tend to think that Northern Ireland wants and deserves “indépendance” from “les anglais”. They have a lot to learn.

        1. Rox

          I’m sorry, early reports did present the DUP as being keen on a hard Brexit, which is what I couldn’t understand (even if the other parties were keen on actual union with the Republic). This seems to have been fashionably “fake” news, or more probably, one of many mistakes made recently. Imagine being Theresa May with all this prediction buzzing around you of what you are going to do !

  2. Epistle

    Yes, it shows the new boldness of Ruth Davidson, in light with her victories in Scotland, to press her socially liberal, or rather as I believe, decadent agenda. But as devolved issues, N Ireland should remain
    uninfected by such liberality, whilst unfortunately I see no way that the DUP stance will be given any traction this side of the Irish Sea.
    The Single Market is indeed, I believe, the key battleground, particularly in the light of David Davis’ comments that we might not now leave it. But to unpick the Conservative election position of a clean brake without strings would cause such an internicine battle that in their current weakness they could not reasonably risk it, or another election could be in sight. Their mandate is for a clean BREXIT and to dilute it now would be to defraud those who voted for them, particularly ex UKIP voters. Nigel Farage is pondering his role in the wings. He may have impact yet.

  3. Premonition

    Derek Prince had commented the reason Bill Clinton defeated George Bush Sr. in the 1992 US General Election was on account of the Bush Administration declaring it would only lend Israel $10bn for housing recent Jewish immigrants from the Soviet Union if certain settlement building stopped. Derek acknowleged and shared the concern of Christians over abortion.
    Upon reviewing the Conservative manifesto for 2017 there was not a single reference to Israel or anti-semitism. Their 2015 manifesto had stated about “robustly defending the right of Israel to protect its security”.
    The 2017 Labour manifesto stated there must be “an end to rocket and terror attacks” and that manifesto also referenced the terrible issue of anti-semitism 3 times.
    I noted Jeremy Corbin’s response on Questiontime June 2nd
    when asked about anti-semitism in the Labour Party which included the following:
    “There is no place for anti semitism anywhere in our society and certainly not in our party.
    the way in which the jewish people have suffered down the centuries the holocaust and all
    that went with it was the most appalling stain in the history of mankind.”

    God notes what is said that should not have been
    and what is not said that should have been.

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